Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.438432 1.692180 1.957296 2.253316 2.573047 2.906540 3.279267
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.013040 1.354551 1.735050 2.183301 2.690415 3.240595 3.877134
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.774171 1.148261 1.586257 2.122349 2.747902 3.443688 4.265671
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.604185 0.996013 1.477542 2.087876 2.819470 3.650296 4.648521
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.504388 0.913696 1.438016 2.121612 2.958255 3.923290 5.097151
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.414492 0.830516 1.386667 2.131988 3.062182 4.150507 5.489041
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.325938 0.734841 1.308212 2.099309 3.106510 4.301721 5.787619
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.299083 0.726919 1.344658 2.211604 3.327934 4.663103 6.332816
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.276947 0.722747 1.383984 2.326127 3.551300 5.026584 6.880798
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.261133 0.726354 1.432796 2.452334 3.789071 5.407665 7.450340
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.251873 0.739509 1.494531 2.595518 4.048496 5.815567 8.052780
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.224787 0.717077 1.501774 2.663366 4.210697 6.104224 8.512355
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.181964 0.662054 1.461831 2.671974 4.305549 6.322093 8.902781
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.129655 0.575924 1.367479 2.600846 4.294741 6.409050 9.136226
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.088661 0.499339 1.279339 2.531473 4.280471 6.486896 9.354147
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.060967 0.442550 1.216982 2.494094 4.304514 6.609309 9.623286
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047045 0.417502 1.206276 2.531126 4.427716 6.856624 10.045864
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.033305 0.385514 1.179990 2.542675 4.514882 7.057251 10.410361
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.019312 0.340394 1.124613 2.506540 4.534230 7.169390 10.663869
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017911 0.349160 1.172169 2.630519 4.776271 7.569377 11.277313
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016733 0.358533 1.220949 2.756677 5.021802 7.974493 11.898005
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.016301 0.371755 1.277503 2.895422 5.285442 8.403723 12.549733
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.016830 0.390545 1.345402 3.052489 5.575283 8.867593 13.245695